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Weather or Knot 5/25/08 It’s raining out there.

That may not seem that extraordinary. After all, we are in the Pacific Northwest, if barely, and late spring rains are common. A few years back we got an inch of snow on Memorial Day, so rain really isn’t cause for comment.

But this year, and this week, have been different. This has been one of the wildest weeks we’ve seen as far as weather goes. It started out with record-shattering temperatures in the mid to upper nineties, breaking record highs for the date on four days, and the record high for the month on two days. Then it turned cold, and temperatures plunged into the upper twenties.

Then the winds came. Strong, cold winds, a steady 30 miles an hour. Winds like that are rare at our house, which is on the leeward side of the mountain. They’re also unusual for the area in late spring. One gust, estimated at 70 miles an hour, destroyed a large cedar about 100 yards from our home. Meanwhile, the town of Weed, which is usually windy on the northeast side of the mountain, was experiencing no wind at all.

And now, rain. Given that we’ve hardly had any rain at all since the start of February, everyone is happy to see it. The pine forests were already as dry below 4,000 feet as they are in July. We were looking at a truly terrifying fire season.
Semi Prozac 2/26/08 A few years ago, I saw a movie starring Christina Ricci called “Prozac Nation.” It was a good movie, with a searing performance by Ricci, about a young woman’s struggle with depression.

But it left me dissatisfied. The ending seemed pat. The girl starts taking prozac, and wow! She’s all better. The sun is shining, birds are frolicking, puppies are in the trees chirping.

Or so memory informed me. I rented the movie today and watched the ending again. It wasn’t pat; they just simply wrapped it up abruptly. The Ricci character, as narrator, explained that it was a long hard road from depression, and what the prozac did was give her “breathing room.” The inference was that prozac was, at the beginning, the only thing that stood between her and suicide, and in the climatic scene, she smashes a glass in the bathroom at her psychiatrist’s office and stands at the sink, poised to slit her wrists, and just can’t do it. From there to fade-to-credits is about ninety seconds, which doesn’t leave much time to detail what probably really was a long and arduous recovery from depression. Thus the feeling of a pat ending.

If the movie didn’t actually disintegrate into an ad for prozac, it made clear the writer’s opinion that prozac saved her life. I have no doubt that she utterly believes that it did.

But there was a significant study reported in today’s London Guardian, bannered: “Prozac, used by 40m people, does not work say scientists.” Eli Lilly claims it’s used by 54 million people, and of course has made the company a lot of money over the years.
Cold Truths 12/12/07 George Monbiot, the reporter for the Guardian, has a modest proposal to curb global warming. Take all the fossil fuels, and leave them in the ground.

Hmm. Well, if we started that tomorrow (Tuesday) the world economies would collapse, probably by 4pm Wednesday, and by Friday civilization would have collapsed in most of the northern hemisphere. Starvation would begin by Sunday, and on Monday people in the the American south would be killing prey with their bare teeth while their children, naked, chased chickens around the yard. In other words, the South would be the one part of the world left unaffected.

Monbiot wasn’t seriously proposing the world try to quit fossil fuels cold turkey. He was raising the point that the nations that stand to lose the most from global warming (including, whether they admit it or not, China and the US) are working the hardest to increase the extraction rate of those same fossil fuels that are causing the problem in the first place.

The problem, Monbiot argues, is that while people are trying to address fossil fuel consumption in terms of limiting demand – nuclear power, hybrid cars, fluorescent lights – the real solutions will come only from limiting supply.

This comes the day after an article appeared in the Sacramento Bee, written by the brilliant environmental reporter Tom Knudson, detailing the environmental catastrophe that is developing in north central Alberta, deep in the heart of Canada, in the area of the Athabaska oil sands. There, Knudson writes, arsenic, mercury and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons are endangering the health of the residents and destroying the environment for hundreds of miles around. Alberta is cursed with an Alliance government, which consist of wannabees who believe in Ayn Rand and the Invisible Hand and dream of becoming American-like plutocrats and being rich and stupid, instead of just plain stupid. So they stand carefully upwind, flutter their hands, and assure everyone that the free market has everyone’s best interests at heart. And nobody mentions that sand oil causes up to three times as much CO2, barrel for barrel, because of the extra energy and chemistry needed to turn what is basically asphalt into some sort of serviceable oil.
Burning Down the House 7/21/06 There’s two documentaries out there right now about global warming. One of them is attracting immense attention, galvanizing people, creating an American hero, and scaring the piss out of the far right.

The other one is more low key. It gives a detailed analysis of what is causing global warming, what the effects of global warming are likely to be, how bad it might get, and what can be done about it.

In the long run, it might be the more important of the two documentaries.

Tom Brokaw, retired news anchor, decided to do something that he had limited opportunity to do in the last 15 years or so that he worked for NBC: he got to make an honest, non-flashy, and informative documentary. Think about it: when was the last time you saw something like that on network TV? Been a while, hasn’t it?

Naturally, Brokaw’s documentary isn’t on network television. It’s on the Discovery Channel, a station that itself has become far too fond of monster trucks and idiotic “Did Jesus live?” pseudo-documentaries with lots of blurred and jittery camera shots to denote that something interesting is going on when in fact it is not.
Kosher Medicine 7/18/06 Imagine that you are running a restaurant. It’s a fairly classy joint, nothing snobby, but you can go in and get a nice steak and the edges of your customers’ credit cards won’t be smoking when they leave.

Business is good, but a number of customers have asked about a “surf and turf” plate. You look into it, decide the menu can take a small expansion, and you add a steak and lobster plate.

It’s a hit, and you’re making a decent margin on it. But then one evening, one of your customers comes to you, irate, and tells you that one waitress has told him that she won’t serve the steak and lobster plate for religious reasons.

You confront the waitress, who explains that the bible says that lobsters are an insect, and are an abomination to eat (the bible actually does say that of all shellfish) and that she thus cannot serve it to others because it is wrong. She points out that when she entered your employ, the restaurant did not serve lobster.

You could mention the shrimp salad, but that’s only served on Fridays, and she had requested Friday from an hour before sundown until Saturday an hour after sundown off, and so you just simply never scheduled her for those two days.
Bird Flu 5/11/06 I don’t mean to panic anyone about Bird Flu, but have you seen or read Steven King’s “The Stand”? You know, the one where a mutated flu virus gets loose from a military compound and kills 99.98 of all the people in the world, which inexplicably calls Satan’s imp to Las Vegas so he can get nuclear bombs?

ABC will probably re-run “The Stand” the week the news breaks that H5N1 has finally developed human-to-human contagion. Should give them great ratings.

I watched “First Contact: Bird Flu in America” Tuesday night, and it managed to be just as dreadful as I feared, and better than I hoped. It was sensationalist, and is going to raise public anxiety about bird flu. At the same time, they got their facts straight for the most part, and pointed out that the real danger from a pandemic of that sort isn’t the number killed by the disease, but the number killed by panic and social chaos.
Free Market Health 5/3/06 For decades, Republicans, libertarians and other right wingers have been warning us against the perils of what they call “socialized medicine.” “It will be a vast, expensive, ineffective bureaucracy,” they intone, “heartless, soulless, crushing children and old people, forcing triage, and denying millions even the basics in an effort not to bankrupt the nation.”

Americans, on cue, went wide-eyed with fright, and swore that health care would, now and forever, be a free market enterprise.

The decades went by, and nations that had single-payer or national health not only failed to go bankrupt, but in most such countries, most of the citizenry seemed to be quite satisfied with the level and quality of health care they got. And if their taxes were higher, they never had to shop for doctors, or worry about whether the insurance company would cover a visit to the ER, or how to afford medications.

More recently, Americans noticed that they were spending an awful lot on health care. (As of 2005, the average per capita spent on health care is $5,200 a year). In return, they were getting a rather poor return. Fifteen percent of Americans had no health coverage at all, and nearly half the remainder had poor to barely adequate coverage. More and more, people were being killed by the rapidly escalating price of medications (next time you’re in the pharmacy, remember the money you are spending goes, in large part, to those fancy ads on TV that you so enjoy). And of course, everyone had to deal with endless paper work, and a maze of conflicting and often contradictory plans, providers, HMOs, hospital bureaucracies, and another maze of tax rebates and employer involvement. People were horrified to discover that insurance companies were dictating to employers who they could hire, based on health-risk estimates.
Marvin and Mars 3/18/06 Regular readers know that a theme I write on fairly often is that of global warming. Next to nuclear holocaust or an asteroid strike, I consider it the most serious threat humanity faces, and unlike nuclear war, it is inevitable, and unlike an asteroid strike, we know that it’s going to happen. Some of us will live to see the worst effects of it.

I also like to talk about Mars. Like anyone raised on a diet of Ray Bradbury, Robert Heinlein and Edgar Rice Burroughs, I’m fascinated by our closest neighbor, and this shows up from time to time in my pieces.

It’s not often I get to talk about both at the same time. In fact, this is the first, and probably only time. So I’m going to make the most of it.

Last week, I wrote another piece about global warming, and mentioned toward the end about how tenaciously right wingers clung to the ideology that global warming is nothing but a plot by America-hating, tree-hugging Luddite liberals who hate capitalism. They do so long after insurance companies and extraction industries have stopped trying to pretend global warming isn’t real, and some have even stopped pretending human activity has nothing to do with it.

So in the next couple of days, I heard from a couple of right wingers, both of whom wanted to use Mars as an example in order to set me straight on this whole liberal fantasy about global warming.

 
Propagandizing Nature 3/13/06 The news from the high latitudes continues to be unrelievedly grim. Today, the Observer (the Sunday edition of the Guardian) reported on a new study which showed carbon dioxide levels rising at between 2.5 parts per million and 3 parts per million per year at a station in northern Norway. That is yet another substantial increase in the rate of increase, and worldwide, levels are at about 380 parts per million. Over the previous 800,000 years, it has never exceeded 280 parts per million.

According to the article, 500 parts per million is considered a (somewhat arbitrary) “tipping point,” at which time climate change becomes irreversible. Unfortunately, that doesn’t mean we have 40 years to mull over our options.

The article states, “Scientists and campaigners are desperate for politicians to reach agreements that will prevent the 500 ppm 'tipping point' being breached in the next half-century. These new data suggest they may have a far shorter period of time in which to act.” Unfortunately, we may not even have that slim hope.
A Cold Shoulder 2/21/06 The Science Fiction community – in America, at least – has always had a strong representation from people who are either libertarians or free marketeers, or (for those incapable of seeing the built-in conflict between market demands and individual rights) both. The worst cases are Randroids, who are utterly convinced that government is the root of all evil, and that churches and corporations wouldn’t DREAM of taking over the power vacuum if government were to be somehow eliminated from human affairs. Aside from being rather poorly thought out, it also has a rather vile premise, that human greed can be counted upon to solve all social problems.

Like in Rwanda, perhaps.

It’s an ideology, an odd one that celebrates the individuality of humans while vociferously opposing any other viewpoints, labeling such as “socialist” and “authoritarian.” As if churches or corporations wouldn’t share such traits.

Holding this particular ideology doesn’t mean someone can’t write great science fiction. Robert Heinlein incorporated it in a lot of his novels, and usually did so in a way that didn’t interfere with the magic of the story one bit. I often most enjoyed the stories where I was most likely to disagree with the political philosophy that informed the story.
Chaos vs Order 7/4/05 Last night, I watched a DVD movie called "π" (for those staring in frustration at a tiny black rectangle in quotes, that’s supposed to be the symbol for "pi"). It wasn’t a very good movie. Aside from the density of the subject matter (advanced math) it featured a poor soundtrack that made it nearly impossible to tell what the characters were saying. Then, too, there’s a suspicion that the math the premise of the movie rested upon wasn’t just abstruse, but was actually incoherent.

In the movie, a brilliant mathematician with no visible source of income has outfitted his apartment with several tons of 1970s computer equipment, and is searching for a way to predict the stock market. Or something. Like all good mathematicians, he suffers from migraines, fainting spells, epileptic seizures, and paranoid schizophrenia. It’s a wonder these guys can count to eleven without having to pull off a sock, let alone solve the mysteries of the universe.

"We're Number One!" - Mental as Anyting 6/12/05 The most striking thing about the National Comorbidity Survey Replication isn’t that it reports that 46% of Americans have experienced mental illness at some point in their lives, or that 26% have experienced mental illness in the past year. It isn’t that those afflicted often suffer from “comorbidity” – getting two or more forms of mental illness concurrently. It isn’t even that America has far higher rates of mental illness than any other developed country.

The most striking thing about the survey is that it does NOT count schizophrenia or other severe affective disorders that usually require institutionalizing. Nor does it include organic deficits stemming from stroke, trauma, or oxygen deprivation. According to the Harvard report on Science Daily, “The survey examined four classes of disorders: anxiety disorders (such as panic and post-traumatic stress disorders), mood disorders (such as depression and bi-polar disorders), impulse-control disorder (such as conduct and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder), and substance abuse disorders (such as alcohol and drug abuse).” Chances are good that a significant number of respondents were able to conceal mental problems from the researchers, and another sizeable group that had suffered such problems in the past would state, often sincerely, that they had never been so afflicted, either out of simple denial or for fear of being stigmatized. Given that these disorders most frequently have transitory episodes in children and adolescents, it’s entirely possible that a lot of people have either forgotten the incidents, or dismissed them as being part of the emotional Sturm und Drang of adolescence. Finally, the survey didn’t include two segments of the American population where mental illness is concentrated the most: in the prisons, and among the homeless. So the number of 46% is, if anything, very low. Chances are a substantial majority of Americans have experienced mental illness.
Chimera 3/25/05 With all the noise in the media about Terri Schiavo, and steroids in baseball, most people didn’t notice a little article in the paper about how scientists at Stanford University had implanted DNA into mice, resulting in brains in those mice that were 1% human.

The idea of blending species – creating what are called chimeras – isn’t a new one. Indeed, the word "chimera" comes from an imaginary critter in ancient Greek myth that was part lion, part snake, and part goat. Creating chimeras was one of the highest goals of alchemy, when they weren’t trying to transmute base metals into gold. And of course, the idea has been a staple in science fiction going back to Frankenstein.

So it’s not a new idea.

When Trilobites Have a Bad Day 3/14/05 The Guardian had a piece on the curious periodicity of extinction level events in earth’s history, stating that they occurred every 62 million years (British years, that is), and that we were overdue for the next one. I posted the story to my newsreaders under the helpful Sunday morning greeting, "Good morning. We’re all going to die. Have a nice day," and moved on to the next topic.

But something about the story nagged at me. It wasn’t that the mass die-offs occurred every 62 million years, or that the last one was 69 million years ago. It was that the number seemed too big. Or too small. I vaguely remembered that there had been the die off that killed the dinosaurs, making life much more convenient for us mammals, but the previous really big one was 250 million years ago, not 130 million. One hundred and twenty million years might not seem so long when you are preparing for a tax audit, but it seems a rather big bump on a frequency of 62 million years.

On the other hand, the ice ages caused die-offs, surely, and the last one of those was only 12,000 years ago. An eye-blink. Even in British years.

Kristof's Nightmare 3/12/05 Nicholas Kristof, the NY Times columnist, wrote an essay this week called "I Have a Nightmare" in which he discussed how the environmental movement in America has done severe damage to itself by being alarmist and inflexible. He bases his column on a tract, "The Death of Environmentalism"by Michael Shellenberger and Ted Nordhaus, that has been around the internet for the past year. Kristof is mostly correct in what he writes; public perception that environmentalists are mostly reactionary nay-sayers is often justified by people in the movement who constantly preach that this thing or that thing is going to doom us all, and if we don’t address this (often minor) problem immediately, humanity is going to hell in a handbasket. The essay itself discusses the political failure of environmentalism, and discusses what other approaches need to be taken. It’s a must-read for anyone concerned about the health of humanity and our future.
Krakatoa 3/7/05 A friend of mine in Oregon emailed me. “Did you hear that they’re sending a rapid response team to investigate a volcanic eruption off Vancouver Island?” he asked. 

I knew there volcanic activity going on out near the Juan de Fuca fault line, in an area known as “the spreading zone”. This was mildly worrisome, since the Juan de Fuca fault line is a triggering area for the entire Cascadian subduction zone, which has an unpleasant habit of cutting loose every 400 to 600 years and producing gigantic earthquakes and tsunamis. The last one was 305 years and two months ago. People took notice of that one and wrote it down. 
Fleas 12/28/04 I was looking at a heart-rending picture from Sri Lanka of a mother crying over the bodies of four of her children, and a passer-by, glancing at the picture, said, "Aren’t you glad we live in the mountains?"

Well, it’s true that being 3,600 feet up and 100 miles inland means that tsunamis are not our number one concern. Any tsunami big enough to hit us means an end of the world event just occurred, such as an asteroid the size of Manhattan landing in the Pacific. Sloppy phrasing; scientists prefer "extinction level event" instead of "end of the world event," since the planet would still be around. Extinction level events are comparatively common, and there have been several dozen that we know about, starting with the impact that created the moon.

Gods and Suns 12/5/04 Why do I think creationism is something that only an abject moron would believe?

The answer lies in the stars.

According to the first version of creation in the Bible, God created the stars (the lights in the vault of heaven) on the fourth day, two days after he created earth.

And he supposedly created earth 6,000 years ago.

The Little Egg Harbor Incident 12/04/04 Back about a month ago, there was an incident in New Jersey where a National Guard F-16 jet on a training mission had one of its guns accidentally fire, squirting off 27 rounds in slightly under half a second. Some of the bullets perforated the roof of an elementary school, some four miles away.

Fortunately, this happened at night, and so there were no injuries, the bullets were of a non-explosive variety, and the damage was comparatively minor, being limited to holes in the roof, a few ceiling tiles destroyed, and the demise of one child’s desk that just happened to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Nobody was hurt, unless you count the fact that the whole thing probably gave the school’s night custodian a good case of the jitters. Getting shot at by invisible jets definitely isn’t a part of the job description.

 

H5N1 10/12/04 The other day there was an article in the papers about a team of researchers playing around with H1N1, the influenza virus that swept the globe in 1918, killing forty million people and temporarily incapacitating over a billion in the space of 40 weeks. The military was interested in something that could quickly and effectively incapacitate up to half the population while only killing one or two percent. If you happen to be of a military-sociopathic frame of mind, it’s a humane and effective way of getting your own way in world affairs.

I always think of "The Stand" when I read news stories like that. "The Stand" was a Stephen King novel, later a miniseries, about the military losing control of a "shifting antigen" flu virus. The element that made this stuff nasty was that the virus changed every few days, faster than the body could produce new antibodies, while maintaining 99.9% lethality, and once it broke lose of military confinement, stock prices plummeted. The handful of survivors from around the world got to fight Satan for control of Las Vegas, and the viewer is left to ponder such imponderables as why the virus didn’t kill off Molly Ringwald’s annoying character when it had the chance, or why the hell they just didn’t LET Satan have Vegas if he wanted it all that bad. Ever been there in the summer?

Pyongyang Bang 9/12/04 Something went "bang" in North Korea the other day.

Well, that’s not too unusual. A few months ago, hundreds, perhaps thousands were killed in an explosion when two trains loaded with things that go bang collided in a place called Ryongchon. North Korea is a paranoid and secretive place with lots of weapons and a penchant for running with scissors. Bang happens.

As most people know, North Korea secretly worked on a nuclear weapons program over the past twenty years, lying vociferously to the world that they were doing nothing of the sort. Given the general state of their economy, and their disdain for the educational systems of all other countries, nearly all of which are superior to NK’s, this might not have mattered, were it not for the fact that Pakistan started making and selling "Build-ur-own-nukes" kits to any and all interested buyers.

North Korea was an interested buyer, and by dint of starving a few extra hundred thousand of their citizens, were able to buy their very own nuclear program.

The Heat is On 2/23/04 Imagine if a report appeared in some magazine that warned flat out that global warming would destroy us. Suppose the report said that major change would come as early as 2007, when storms and rising waters would mean abandoning The Hague and Sacramento, and that by 2020, just sixteen years from now, Britain would have a Siberian climate, and that millions would die from famine and war as humans fought over rapidly-dwindling food supplies, and the threat of nuclear war would increase sharply as the planet’s ability to feed our six billion people collapsed.

If you were a right winger, you would dismiss such a report as being the paranoid fantasy of some dope-smoking, left-wing, anti-American and anti-capitalism outfit. Sierra Club, maybe, or Greenpeace. Or even Earth First!, which really likes to go for extreme rhetoric and extreme scenarios.

There is such a report, and it is, naturally, being ignored by nearly all the corporate media in America. It was first published about two weeks ago. But it isn’t some fringe group with an axe to grind that’s behind the report. The dope-smoking anti-American outfit that generated the report was the Pentagon, and the left-wing anti-capitalist magazine that printed it was Fortune magazine.

Evolution in Action 2/10/04 Nova aired a program February 3rd called "Dogs and More Dogs". Since I own three of the critters (two Samoyeds and a Cockeyed Spanule) plus a wolf mix, I decided to watch. It was the usual good standards I expect from Nova, and as is usually the case, I finished watching the show with more knowledge that I had going in. There are some who might observe that I am damning Nova with faint praise, but I checked with all of my dogs, and they think I’m a splendid person. Especially when I reach for the leads. Or the dog bowls.

The program dwelled on how the dog developed (whether it was deliberate breeding by humans over the past 14,000 years, or whether the canid carrion eaters attracted to human refuse about the time the first villages were formed became more familiar with humans and thus better fed) and why there is so much diversity among dogs. And why they differ so much from their canid cousins: wolves, foxes, and hyenas.

Mars: Because the natives won't form a Resistance 1/15/04

Anyone who knows me knows that I’m fascinated by space in general and Mars in particular. As a kid, I used to get up at two am and watch the six hour countdowns that usually got aborted because a cloud showed up on the horizon, or they noticed that Fred forgot to fuel the rocket, or some damn thing. Even back then, forty odd years ago, there was the mysterious and futuristic "computer problem" too. I’ll spend hours poring over the January 2004 National Geographic, which has great coverage (and even greater photos) of Mars.

So it would stand to reason that when an American President stood up and made a clarion call to return to the Moon by 2015 and form permanent colonies, and send humans to Mars by the year 20whenever, I would find that pretty exciting.

And certainly, I want the human race to move onward and outward. Our destiny lies there, and not on this one little planet. If we have a purpose, if we have a salvation, space is it. There is no human endeavor that matters more to the future of the race. I believed that when I watched flickering, grainy images on our 12" black and white in 1961, and I believe it today.

Prions 12/30/03 You would think Republicans would love prions. Anything that can take a voter and turn him into a drooling, twitching idiot, paranoid and fretful, incapable of doing simple math or making moral judgments on his own, would be just what the GOP wants to see turn up at the polling places.

But it turns out that prions are bad for business, so Republicans don’t like them. America can count itself lucky on that score.

Productivity vs. Efficiency 9/27/03 The White House Office of Management and Budget just released a report that concludes, according to the Washington Post, that "that the health and social benefits of enforcing tough new clean-air regulations during the past decade were five to seven times greater in economic terms than were the costs of complying with the rules."

The report – and let me reiterate, this is from the OMB, which is part of George’s White House – states that between 1991 and 2001, industry spent some $23 to $26 billion on regulatory compliance. There are quite a few corporations that made at least that much in net profit alone over that ten year period. Bill Gates ALONE could have covered the costs, and kept half his fortune. This week’s report replaced a previous report that was found to have been factually deficient, or, in technical terms, "A great steaming load of GOP bullshit."

Political Conservatism 8/16/03 Well, we always knew there was something wrong with them.

A study, funded jointly by the National Science Foundation (NSF), and National Institute of Mental Health at the National Institute of Health (NIH) examined a mindset that the authors were polite enough to refer to as political conservatism. That was something of a euphemism. What they were really studying were the right wing whacks who took over the GOP and threaten to turn America into a third-rate fourth Reich. The paper, titled "Political Conservatism as Motivated Social Cognition" has raised a predictable storm among right wingers, most of whom are yowling and spitting in rage and frustration and throwing their feces, furious that anyone would imply they were emotionally unstable.

A Warning Shot 8/12/03 It hit 100.2 degrees in London, England yesterday. Here in the US, that wouldn’t be major news, since every state in the Union, including Alaska, has experienced triple digit readings. But England is a cold and damp place. I lived in London for three years, and it never got above 85 in all that time. The average daytime high in August is a hair under 70F (21C). This time, they set an all-time record, and their records go back to 1659.

Forecasters say the heat wave might continue through the end of September. Temperatures at or above 100 have been popping up all across northern Europe, including 105 in Germany. Adding to the general consternation is that this comes after three months of the European equivalent of a drought.

In Iraq today, it hit 130 degrees, which is warm even for them. Thanks to the efficiency of the free market, troops over there were able to withstand the heat thanks to promises that they would have fans and air conditioning by no later than October.

Since 1980, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has increased by 9.3%.

A Forest That Puts Out Fires 7/23/03 I glanced at the thermometer on my front porch as I got home from work and winced. Ninety-four isn’t a record for us – it hit 99 last year – but it’s plenty damned hot. Out back, where there’s a wading pool for the dogs and plenty of shade, it was only 90. (Last year, when it hit 120 in nearby Redding, one woman called in to her local radio station to report that it was 118 at her place. "But," she chirped cheerfully, "with the wind chill factor, it’s only 115!")

A sharp edge divided the sky, deep blue above, leaden grey to the north east. Thunderstorms would be raking through the high spruce and red fir forests in the rain shadow of Shasta tonight. A brownish tinge to the clouds suggested there were already fires burning.

Not for the first time, or the hundredth, I felt gratitude that the Forest Service and private landowners had jointly built a firebreak around the town last summer. No place in the western forests is 100% safe from fire, but our odds are much better than they were a year ago should a big fire come roaring through. And one will, eventually. That’s certain. It’s one thing to have a fire-resistant roof and clear the brush around the house, but when you have a 150 foot wall of flame 75 yards from your home, it often isn’t enough.

The Atkins Diet 05/21/03 Back some 50 years ago, there was a story arc in Al Capp’s brilliant "L’il Abner" comic strip about how the village of Dogpatch was besieged by a ravening horde of "fatocerouses" – large, vicious beasts that looked like a cross between rhinoceroses and hippopotamuses, that ate everything in their path. The Dogpatchers stopped the beasts by laying out plates of "mockaroni," a wondrous pasta-like substance that had an interesting effect: the more you ate, the skinnier you got. In the case of the fatocerouses, by the seventh helping, most were so skinny that they simply floated away in the breeze, and Dogpatch was saved.

A theatrical agent, burdened with a former sex siren client with an eating disorder ("Anita Eatburg") saw this, and recognized the commercial potential. He bought up mockaroni for five dollars from the Dogpatchers, who were gleeful at such a huge windfall and happy to serve their nation in its hour of need against the fatocerouses, and the agent started selling it as a diet food, under the slogan, "Eat like a swine – stay slim as a snake."

Thermal Depolymerization Process 4/26/03

I remember one morning picking up my copy of the LA Times, and after giving the headlines a scan, noted an inconspicuous six column-inch single wide story below the center fold. "New Fusion Process Claimed" it said. I scanned on, reading the sports and comics, and then, after I got a couple of cups of coffee in me, returned to the front page.

The Fusion piece caught my eye again. I frowned at it, expecting to read that scientists in Europe had achieved fusion for several microseconds at a temperature of several million degrees, producing a few BTUs of energy while using enough power to keep Manhattan lit for a few nights.

What the story related, of course, was so-called "cold fusion," and by the time I flipped the paper open (continued on page 28, but you’ll wind up on page 33 because the copy editor screwed up), I realized that I was reading about something quite extraordinary, something that, if true, could revolutionize the world. I particularly liked the fact that the apparatus was so small and simple that it might conceivably be a power source for individual homes, and even automobiles.

It was pretty exciting stuff.

The Dream Machines 4/15/03 Most people don’t know this – I didn’t – but there are cars available that use existing engines and burn gasoline, and run so clean that the emissions are actually cleaner than the freeway air they take in!

The cars, which use existing technology, are simply put together a bit more thoroughly, and have a few modest improvements on items that cars already have, such as catalytic converters, vapor traps, and computerized fuel control.

How much do these modest changes, which add between $200 and $400 to the base sticker price of a car, reduce emissions?

At least ninety percent. Often more. Never less.

Tainted Research 1/22/03 Robert Lee Hotz, writing for the Los Angeles Times, reported that "one-quarter of the biomedical researchers at universities had commercial ties serious enough to raise the questions of financial conflicts, the analysts found."

Well, duh.

At least, that was my initial response. Then I remembered that I was exposed to the notion of tainted research some 11 years ago, back before the corruption had become widespread in trials for drugs for human use.

Hotz wrote a good piece, and the country would be better off if people paid attention to it. But experience is that people will glide right past it, unaware of what it could mean to them at any point in the future.

Send in the Clones

1/5/03

It’s not often you get to see Type Five howling cat fights in the scientific, political, and religious communities at the same time, but a sect calling themselves the Raelians managed just that last week with their announcement that they had just just had sucessfully birthed the first cloned human being. Working with a company they own called Cloneaid, the sect claims to have several other cloned human births pending, including two taken from the cells of children killed in accidents.

Brigitte Boisselier, a bishop of the sect, says that the scientific proof of the cloning would be produced sometime in the next eight or nine days, which is more than a little bit strange. Normally, a scientist who manages such a spectacular breakthrough has all the documentation and data compiled, because he’s going to want to submit it to peer review and verification as fast as he can once word gets out.

Standardized Tests Flunking

12/29/02 I doubt many teachers were surprised. A major study performed by researchers at Arizona State University found that not only did standardized testing fail to improve academic performance in the twenty eight states where it takes place, but it may have actually worsened it, and led to higher dropout rates.

The tests have been a cause celebré among right wingers, advocates of funding for private schools, politicians, and Putsch. Putsch, of course, wants to tie school funding to the tests. If a school finishes below the acceptable levels two years running, funding is cut off. That’ll show those kids a thing or two about not passing tests, right?

Solstice 2002 12/20/02 Well, nuts.

Each year, I write an essay that revolves around the winter solstice, and I usually work it around the cliché, "it’s always darkest before the dawn." I decided I wasn’t going to do that this year because...well, it was starting to feel stale to me, and if I was getting tired of it, than by now my readers must be slinging nooses over the highest limbs of their Christmas trees with the vain hope that Saint Nick would appear and help them hang themselves before they had to read the same thing AGAIN.

But boy, if there was ever a year where that message were germane, this is it.

OK. "It’s always darkest before the dawn." Don’t lose hope. Never lose hope. OK?

To Live and Die in America 11/20/02 It was the sort of news you really don’t like to get any time. The wife of a business associate, aged 44, just diagnosed with lung cancer. Diffused through both lungs, involvement of the aorta and pericardial sac. Lousy prognosis, of course. It’s a shame; she is a funny and intelligent woman, fun to be around.

She’s Peruvian, and she and her American husband will have to consider options if she fails to respond to treatment. Peru doesn’t have the high quality of medical care that America has, but then, he is self-employed and uninsured. Like forty-five million other working poor in America, she isn’t going to see much of that high quality medical care here.

You Gotta Have Heart... 10/11/02

There are instances where people have the intelligence and ability to do a job, but are, most cataclysmically, the wrong people for the job. They are, for one reason or another, emotionally unprepared.

They give psych tests for police applicants, and one of the disqualifying personality types is the fundamentalist. It makes sense. You don’t want to come around a corner to find a cop, red-faced, lips laced with spittle, screaming, "You have SINNED! Against GOD!" while waving his gun wildly at a terrified motorist who is sobbing that she didn’t SEE that it was a red, no-parking zone. Fundamentalists tend to take their perceived duties a little TOO seriously, and aren’t real good on perceiving graduations between right and wrong.

Legacy Lost 8/28/02


 A few weeks back, I got together with an acquaintance for fish and chips.  While chatting about this and that and the other, he asked a question popular among the majority of the local population who weren’t born here: what brought you to Mt. Shasta?

 The Answer nearly always has something to do with the Mountain.  It can be religious, spiritual, aesthetic, or just a desire to be away from the noise and congestion of the city.  In my case, it was coming around a bend on old US 99 some 40 odd years ago, and seeing the Mountain for the first time, still 40 miles south of us, and already the most imposing landscape feature I had ever seen.  My dad drove the car and hid a grin as my eyes got huge.  I had absolutely no idea such a mountain could exist.  I had been grousing because we had been in California for a half an hour and I still hadn’t seen a single palm tree.  It made the Canadian Rockies - at that point, my only first-hand experience with mountains – look like nothing.  It was then that I fell in love with this place.  I still experience that sense of awe I felt as a child, on another August day, so many years ago.

 So I asked the Question back, and got a really interesting answer.  "There was a short story I read about the Mountain once, by Robert Heinlein.  I can’t remember the title, and that’s frustrating, because I would love to read it again.  But that story is what brought me up here."

Evolution 7/24/02

It's doesn't matter how many brains you have, or how strong your teeth and claws are. You can be king of the jungle, and step on ants without noticing, but eventually, you will be gone.

And the ants will carry on.

Before we learned how to handle tools and fire and developed communal defense and thus became a force to be reckoned with on the savannah, there were hundreds, perhaps thousands of species who had a turn as "top of the food chain".

They all have one thing in common that makes them different from us. They all went extinct.

Boolyah 6/10/02 The Putsch administration, like a cat trying to cover up a mistake on the kitchen floor, tried burying a climate report on global warming (required of it by a 1992 treaty) on the web, deep in the electronic bowels of the EPA.

How deep?

Here's the url: www.epa .gov/globalwarming/publications /car/

Rumor has it that as you exit that page, you will see the skeletal remains of people who were running Mosaic on their 486s and foolishly forgot to bring food and water with them to visit that far into the EPA. In 1992, the net was not for sissies.

Collapse
5/5/02
The nursery rhyme, "London bridge is falling down," like most nursery rhymes, has a basis in reality, and was originally a political gibe against the powers that be. The bridge in 1665, was a main thoroughfare over the Thames, and heavily built up with a wild array of structures, woodbeam and siding and thatch, all very flammable. When the Great Fire of London struck, the bridge caught fire, and the structures all burned. Miraculously, the bridge itself survived, but nobody was in any great hurry to shore up the rickety and charred structure, and it soon became apparent to one and all that at some point, most likely when traffic was at it's heaviest, the whole thing would plunge into the noisome waters below, drowning dozens, if not hundreds.
Spirituality and Fundamentalism
4/7/02
I came across a fascinating website that promotes a book, "The ‘God’ Part of the Brain: A Scientific Interpretation of Human Spirituality and God" by Matthew Alper. http://www.godpart.com/index.html The premise was well enough written that I plan to purchase the book and read the rest of Alper’s thesis about human spirituality.
Mars and Me
3/3/02
One of my earliest memories comes from when I was five, going on six. My dad took me out into a chill November night, and we scanned the southern skies looking for the new "artificial moon" that the Russians called "sputnik." When it appeared, right on schedule as my dad noted with an approving nod, I was a little disappointed. It was just a little white dot, like all the other stars, except that it was moving. What I expected to see was a tiny version of the moon, dangling down from a big boom that extended back to the north pole, which rotated once every ninety minutes, twirling the little moon on its trip around the earth.
Puss ‘N Boots
2/17/02
When a private company, John Sperling's Apollo Group, financed a venture by another group, Genetic Savings and Clone, it was interested in making a profit from the cloning of pets. It bankrolled a Texas A&M lab into producing "cc." the first cloned cat. To this end, it sank $3.7 million into the project.
The response was both predictable and sad.
Paul Elias of Associated Press wrote, "Tundra died three years ago, but Susann Rivera never gave up hope that one day she would play with her furry friend again. Hear heart soared Friday after she learned that Texas A&M University researched had successfully cloned a calico kitten...
Fundies vs Rationalists
10/1/01
Fundamentalism isn’t a religion. It’s a personality disorder. It gets associated with religion a lot, because religion, with its claim to be able to provide final answers to life’s greatest mysteries, appeals to a mind-set that is fearful of uncertainty, antagonistic toward a world where trains don’t run on time and other people might do things that the fundamentalist is afraid to try personally.
Cold desert nights
8/21/01
Is everyone else as tired as I am of having arrogant jerks flail away with the cross and the flag to disguise the fact that they don’t have a leg to stand on?
I was watching the farmers in the Klamath parade before the cameras, waving their flags and their bibles and whining copiously about how everybody prefers the damn sucker fish over loyal, god-fearin’ Emerkins like them.
Well, at least the fish doesn’t whine. There’s that to be said for it.
Hazmats
8/11/01
Last night, I dreamed that I was listening to a CD. Mercifully, it being a dream, I couldn’t actually hear the CD. I just dreamed I was listening to it. The CD was called "Popping Some Caps", and it was described as "Lite ‘N Easy Rap Medleys" as performed by William Shatner and Michael Jackson.
Obviously, some nightmares can convey horror that annihilates reason. This dream, clearly, was one of them.
Putsch and the Blob Squad
8/9/01
They weren’t going to yank Putsch’s strings just yet. Word was that he wasn’t going to announce "his" decision on stem cell research until sometime after a trip to Wisconsin, in late August.
But then the media noticed that he had been taking a lot of vacation time for a guy who hadn’t even been on the job six months, and someone sat down and figured that by the time he got back at the end of the month, a full 42% of his "Presidency" to that date would have been spent on vacation.
"...Well, if you say so"
8/6/01
The cool thing about science is that when the shamans make predictions, they tend to come about. I’m not talking about eclipses, which are a fairly simple matter of orbital mechanics. I’m not talking about the rate of decay of a radioactive substance, which is just a matter of figuring out a constant, and remembering that it pertains to a particular element. That’s ordinary, humdrum stuff that comes easily to us midgets as we stand upon the shoulders of giants.
Little Green Men
1/31/01

Today’s Sacramento Bee ran a story under the byline of Mike Toner of the Cox News Service, reporting that NASA had conducted an experiment that apparently provides an answer to one of the most vexing problems in creation theory, namely, how could water- soluble amino acids get together and interact to form the first living cells in a water environment?

The only answer that worked was that the osmotic membrane that surrounds every living cell on earth would have had to develop first, an answer that didn’t seem to make much sense. Why would such membranes form first, and for that matter, HOW? The organic compounds in the amino acids would have to combine to form the membrane, and nobody had ever been able to demonstrate that amino acids ever did such a thing.

But as scientists get a clearer picture of conditions in space, they try to duplicate on a small scale on earth what we see going on up there, and study the results, and see how it fits in with everything ELSE they see going on up there.

When they saw that organic chemistry going on in deep space, they decided to duplicate it here, and see what it did. So they took a bunch of organic chemicals – water, methanol, ammonia, and carbon monoxide, the junk that makes up the "ice" in comets and exists all over the universe – at Ames Research in Mountain View, California, and combined them at a deep-space temperature of two degrees kelvin, minus 271 Celsius, or -441 Fahrenheit. They also bombarded them with ultraviolet rays and X-rays.

Non-Thoughts on the Non-Millennium
1/4/00
But, like chickens transfixed by a chalk line in the dust, people zoomed in on all those zeroes, and felt the same excitement they felt when the odometer on dad's car hit 100,000 miles. The media was paying close attention, partly to see if Y2K would raise its ugly head and destroy civilization, as the wild-eyed fanatics were claiming. (It will come as no surprise that the same fanatics are now claiming that the busted crisis was staged by {Clinton, the Chinese, the Canadians, Saddam, Liberals} to secretly invade the US while every one was distracted. Must have worked, too. Nobody except the fanatics notices that we've been invaded.).
Murder, Inc.
12/15/99
There were a couple of articles in the press in the past few weeks that made for an interesting juxtaposition. The first one came a few weeks back, when the government announced that gun-related murders were down to 13,000 or so, and gun-related injuries were in the area of 85,000. The NRA (The world's only lobbying group for murderers) said they were pleased that gun murders had dropped (from a peak of some 17,500) and said that this showed that not only could Americans be trusted with guns, but that the vast number of guns doubtlessly had something to do with the low, low numbers. I infuriated gun afficionados by mentioning this on Usenet, under the admittedly provoking headline "Gun casualties 100,000: NRA cheers wildly, says it shows we need more guns".